Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.828492 2.104126 2.407197 2.765177 3.176535 3.634540 4.183363
2025-06-01 1.432177 1.789794 2.216136 2.761979 3.442653 4.264104 5.331876
2025-06-08 1.140987 1.531216 2.030092 2.714887 3.631392 4.817245 6.471172
2025-06-15 1.000934 1.430880 2.015637 2.869511 4.086292 5.761057 8.247694
2025-06-22 0.861026 1.302659 1.937609 2.917687 4.395219 6.544917 9.921307
2025-06-29 0.732471 1.166619 1.823034 2.888580 4.579184 7.165909 11.441547
2025-07-06 0.608086 1.015177 1.659711 2.755370 4.577066 7.495950 12.551841
2025-07-13 0.556969 0.971300 1.655918 2.870600 4.979804 8.507075 14.888082
2025-07-20 0.516895 0.938848 1.664390 3.004121 5.426655 9.642920 17.586180
2025-07-27 0.476579 0.899319 1.653896 3.100481 5.817672 10.727418 20.336616
2025-08-03 0.433998 0.849027 1.616437 3.140651 6.108385 11.664071 22.936301
2025-08-10 0.381853 0.772967 1.520730 3.056609 6.150640 12.140390 24.715630
2025-08-17 0.327236 0.686052 1.396009 2.905391 6.054305 12.364096 26.084694
2025-08-24 0.294130 0.638053 1.341644 2.888554 6.227564 13.146608 28.715545
2025-08-31 0.261564 0.586430 1.272817 2.831667 6.309067 13.752442 31.064513
2025-09-07 0.251131 0.581339 1.301181 2.988303 6.874019 15.457367 36.072412
2025-09-14 0.232889 0.555995 1.281917 3.035745 7.201489 16.687044 40.186056
2025-09-21 0.211027 0.519027 1.231450 3.003894 7.341024 17.510692 43.470388
2025-09-28 0.184831 0.467858 1.141181 2.864492 7.204395 17.672964 45.180478
2025-10-05 0.177187 0.461281 1.155946 2.983777 7.717997 19.458124 51.191870
2025-10-12 0.171034 0.457578 1.177178 3.122260 8.299630 21.488810 58.133914
2025-10-19 0.163193 0.448334 1.183211 3.222232 8.795631 23.369892 64.961463
2025-10-26 0.153163 0.431766 1.168118 3.263873 9.142144 24.909618 71.093147